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Francisco Alvarez

Francisco Alvarez

C · New York Mets · age 24

Starting Catcher
Trade value
$17.8M
Likely range
$1.0M to $46.0M, where his value lands 8 or more times in 10
Overall
75, potential 75
Player value
$97.7M over the next five seasons, contract aside
Contract
$13.20M a year, 3 years left
Next season
2.1 WAR projected
Role
Everyday Player
Style
Power and Glove

Francisco Alvarez's trade value is $17.8M: what his projected play is worth beyond his contract, summed over the deal and calibrated on real MLB trades.

Updated October 3, 2026.

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Contract, season by season

SeasonCap hitWorthSurplus
2027$13.2M$21.2M$8.4M
2028$18.8M$21.1M$4.2M
2029$18.1M$17.5M$2.6M

Projection

SeasonWAR10–90% rangePlays
20271.9−0.2 to 5.096%
20281.80.0 to 4.893%
20291.60.0 to 4.987%
20301.70.0 to 4.679%
20311.60.0 to 4.079%
Trade value over time$0M$50M202220232024202520262027end of the 2022 season: $42.0Mend of the 2023 season: $88.0Mend of the 2024 season: $44.0Mend of the 2025 season: $45.0Mnow: $17.8M

What this model would have said at the end of each season, using only what was known then. Today's dollars; the open dot is now. It rises when he signs a new deal and drains as the deal runs out.

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