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AJ Smith-Shawver

AJ Smith-Shawver

SP · Atlanta Braves · age 23

Trade value
$15.3M
Likely range
$0.8M to $40.5M, where his value lands 8 or more times in 10
Overall
55, potential 57
Player value
$40.3M over the next five seasons, contract aside
Contract
$0.80M a year, 4 years left
Next season
0.4 WAR projected
Role
Depth Starter
Style
Power Arm

AJ Smith-Shawver's trade value is $15.3M: what his projected play is worth beyond his contract, summed over the deal and calibrated on real MLB trades.

Updated October 3, 2026.

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Contract, season by season

SeasonCap hitWorthSurplus
2027$0.8M$5.4M$4.9M
2028$4.4M$8.1M$4.8M
2029$9.7M$10.2M$4.1M
2030$13.4M$10.1M$2.0M

Projection

SeasonWAR10–90% rangePlays
20270.30.0 to 1.070%
20280.5−0.1 to 1.575%
20290.7−0.2 to 2.167%
20300.7−0.2 to 2.666%
20310.5−0.2 to 2.662%
Trade value over time$0M$20M$40M2024202520262027end of the 2024 season: $41.0Mend of the 2025 season: $22.0Mnow: $15.3M

What this model would have said at the end of each season, using only what was known then. Today's dollars; the open dot is now. It rises when he signs a new deal and drains as the deal runs out.

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